Prediction of Sofia Rocchetti vs Alessandra Mazzola at W15 Antalya 13 Dec 2025

• Is second serve performance important for predicting match outcomes? Yes, Alessandra Mazzola slightly outperforms Sofia Rocchetti with a 38.15% success rate compared to 37.45%.
• How do they perform in return games? Mazzola has an edge, winning 56.73% of opponents' second serve points, while Rocchetti wins 52.49%.
• Who is better at returning first serves? Rocchetti leads here, capturing 40.66% of first serve returns, over Mazzola's 38.17%.
• How do they handle pressure situations like breakpoints? Mazzola has a marginal advantage, saving 48.44% of breakpoints compared to Rocchetti's 45.05%.
• Analyzing match performance over the last year, Mazzola has a stronger win rate at 65.08%, compared to Rocchetti's 45.61%.
• What surfaces favor these players? Rocchetti excels on Clay with 53% victories, while Mazzola performs best on I.hard, also at 53%.
• In terms of competition levels, Mazzola leads with 54.76% win rate at Challengers/ITF > $10K events, as opposed to Rocchetti's 40.91%.
• Considering opponent quality, Rocchetti has faced slightly tougher competition, with an average rank of 424.68 versus Mazzola's 456.46.
• For deciding set performance in the past year, Mazzola again has the advantage, winning 50% of these sets compared to Rocchetti's 33%.
• Current event statistics could further alter predictions, but past form suggests Mazzola is favored.

Editorial Prediction (December 12, 2025, UTC):

Analyzing the recent performances of these players, Alessandra Mazzola demonstrates slightly better second serve success, indicating a stronger base under pressure. This advantage could prove crucial in the match.

In return games, Mazzola again shows a stronger performance, particularly against opponents’ second serves, highlighting her consistency and tactical awareness in rally settings.

Despite Rocchetti's strength in returning first serves, Mazzola's overall success in pressure situations, notably in breakpoint saves, gives her a competitive edge.

Mazzola's higher overall win rate over the past year, coupled with favorable surface performance on I.hard, further supports her as the stronger contender.

Given these factors, Alessandra Mazzola is the likely winner in this upcoming matchup.